US elections speak of polarization in society

On&# 160; background&# 160; uncertainties&# 160; outcome&# 160; presidential&# 160; election experts&# 160; fear&# 160; further&# 160; split&# 160; in&# 160; society&# 160;

The winner of the US presidential election is still unknown. Some key states are still counting the millions of ballots mailed this year due to the pandemic. At the time of publication of the article, the counting of votes was still carried out in the states of Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona. It depends on the outcome of voting in these states who will become the winner of the presidential race..
Despite the ongoing counting of votes, President Trump said Wednesday morning that he believes in his victory and is ready to go to the Supreme Court to stop the counting. “This is a massive falsification,” he said. “Personally, I think I have already won.”.
Trump’s headquarters also announced its intention to demand a recount in Wisconsin..
Joe Biden was victorious in the faltering states of Wyconsin and Michigan. According to preliminary data, in Wisconsin he gained 49.4 percent of the vote, against 48.9 percent for Donald Trump, and in Michigan this ratio was 49.9 against 48.6. The tally in Michigan was delayed in the state’s largest county, Wayne, where only three quarters of the ballots had been processed during the day..
The Democratic candidate, in turn, appealed to supporters, stressing the need to be patient while the vote count continues. At the same time, he also noted that he believes in his victory. “Keep the faith, guys, we will win,” he said on Wednesday outside his Wilmington home..
At the time of publication of the article on the number of Electoral College votes, Joe Biden was in the lead with at least 253 to 213. To win the US presidential election, at least 270 out of 538 electoral votes are required.
American experts note that the “blue wave” (the symbolic color of the Democratic Party), despite a number of pre-election polls, did not happen. At the same time, regardless of who becomes the next president of the United States, the country remains extremely polarized. Experts also express fears that supporters on both sides may resort to unrest, and the results of the presidential election will be challenged in court, coupled with the demand for a recount in several states..
Director of the American program of the political consulting company Eurasia Group John Lieber (Jon Lieber) noted that election polls predicted Joe Biden’s leadership in a number of vacillating states like Ohio or traditionally pro-republican states like Texas. The actual results did not confirm this – in both states President Trump was in the lead, and in a number of states, election polls gave a rather serious advantage to the Democratic candidate. This raises serious questions for the survey industry, the expert notes..
President Trump performed better than was largely predicted, in part because he was able to consolidate the rural electorate for the second consecutive election, as well as improve his position among Hispanic and black voters..
“I think this is a significant shift in the Republican Party and may indicate an impending political restructuring,” said John Lieber on Wednesday, November 4, during the Eurasia Group’s online press conference. At the same time, Joe Biden was able to improve his performance among suburban voters, and, tentatively, returned victory to Democrats in states such as Wisconsin and Michigan. Although there was no decisive victory for the Democratic Party in this election, the analyst expected Joe Biden to win..
If Joe Biden wins, supporters of President Trump may resort to protests and episodic acts of violence, the head of Eurasia Group expresses fears Jan Bremmer (Ian Bremmer). “It will happen,” he said during a press conference, adding that the only question is whether President Trump himself will urge his supporters to take to the streets..
Regardless of who wins the presidential elections, the country remains extremely polarized, and democratic and republican supporters exist in different information spaces, the head of the Eurasia Group added..
Political analyst and professor at Duke University John Aldrich (John Aldrich, Duke University) believes the current presidential election cannot be described as a “referendum” to President Trump.

US elections speak of polarization in society

“This is not just about Trump, but also Republicans, and not only Biden, but also Democrats,” he says in an interview with Voice of America. – In the end, voters choose mainly along party lines. This election would be tense even if we were dealing with two other candidates. “.
The political analyst also raises concerns that supporters of parties on both sides may resort to protests in their disagreement with the outcome of the elections. However, this is more likely to be expected from supporters of President Trump, he adds..
The expert also does not exclude the possibility that President Trump will file lawsuits against a number of Electoral College votes, and will indeed appeal to the Supreme Court, where the Republicans have the majority of votes. Lawsuits from the Democrats are also possible. “This is a very alarming situation,” says John Aldrich of the situation in the country..
The possibility of filing a number of lawsuits by the parties from both parties in a number of states is also noted by an expert of the Heritage Foundation. Hans von Spakowski (Hans von Spakovsky, Heritage Foundation). In particular, the procedure for counting the absentee ballots received by mail may cause a dispute. So, earlier, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court overturned voting rules established by the state legislature and extended the deadline for accepting absentee ballots after election day for three days if they were stamped on November 3, the expert recalls in an interview with Voice of America.
He adds that he does not exclude the possibility that in this case, one can expect a counterclaim from the Republicans, which may reach the US Supreme Court. Republicans generally oppose mailing ballots after election day.

Jane Mansbridge: 3 Causes of Polarization

It is quite possible to expect a recount of votes in a number of states, especially if the result turns out to be approximately equal, the expert adds..
Amid the extreme division of American society and uncertainty about the outcome of the elections, a number of non-governmental organizations urge the parties to restrain themselves and the need to avoid allegations of violations and fraud without solid evidence..
For example, the human rights organization Freedom House said that despite the statements of President Trump, no evidence of mass fraud or malfeasance was found..
“Contrary to the president’s statement earlier this morning, no evidence of widespread fraud or organized malfeasance has been found and vote counting should continue until all ballots have been processed in accordance with the law,” said the head of Freedom House. Michael Abramovitz (Michael J. Abramowitz). “Americans shouldn’t be worried or suspicious about the delay in finalizing the election, which many expected given the unusual circumstances of voting in the midst of a pandemic.”.
The head of Freedom House also called on the public to avoid during the counting of votes formulations and statements that could generate “unfounded doubts about the legitimacy of the elections and incite violence.”.
The winner of the presidential election, as well as some winners of the Senate election, may remain unknown for the next few days, however, all valid ballots are processed and counted, the former head of the Republican National Committee noted. Michael Steele (Michael Steele) and former interim chairman of the Democratic National Committee Donna Brasile (Donna Brazile) in a statement from the Washington Bipartisan Policy Center. The Center for Bipartisan Politics also advocates that all election day postmarked ballots received under state law are counted..
Despite the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, turnout in the November 3 elections was the highest in more than a century. According to a preliminary estimate of a professor at the University of Florida Michael McDonald (Michael P. McDonald, the University of Florida), 160 million people have voted in this presidential election. This is the highest turnout – 66.9% of eligible voters – since 1900, when it was 73.7%.

    US elections speak of polarization in society
  • Valeria Jegisman

    Journalist «Voices of America». Prior to that, she worked for international non-governmental organizations in Washington DC and London, in the Russian-language version of the Estonian daily newspaper “Postimees” and as a spokesman for the Estonian Interior Ministry. Interests – international relations, politics, economics


Similar articles